Техас A M - Техас Лонгхорнс

Американский футбол. NCAA.

Техас A M - Техас Лонгхорнс

Начало игры: 2011-11-25 05:00
Прогноз: ТБ(52.5) Коэффициент: 1.85

Прогноз от известного прогнозиста Jack Jones-на

Odds makers have set the bar too low Thursday in a Big 12 game that should see enough offensive fireworks to climb OVER the number by game's end. The books have put too much stock in the Longhorns' last two games, which resulted in low-scoring outputs against two of the better defenses in the Big 12.

I look for the Longhorns to get their offense going this week against one of the worst defenses not only in the Big 12, but in the entire country. Texas A&M ranks 74th in the land in total defense (400.1 yards/game), including 114th against the pass (292.3 yards/game). They give up 28.8 points/game this year.

Contrary to popular belief, Texas hasn't been that bad offensively. They rank 47th in the FBS in total offense (405.4 yards/game) while scoring 29.2 points/game. I fully expect this team to top both of these averages Saturday against this soft Aggie defense.

There's no question that Texas A&M is going to score points. The Aggies are putting up a whopping 40.9 points/game, and they rank 6th in the country in total offense (512.4 yards/game). While they may not reach their season averages against a solid Texas defense, scoring 30-plus won't be a problem, which will be enough to get this final score OVER the number.

The last four meetings between these teams at College Station have all seen 61 or more combined points. They combined for 88, 68, 69 and 61 points in their last four meetings at Texas A&M, respectively. Texas A&M is a better offensive team and a worse defensive team than they were in any of those four years.

Texas is 29-10 to the OVER in their last 39 games vs. excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 62% or better. Texas A&M is 6-0 to the OVER in their last 6 games versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game. The Longhorns are 26-12 to the OVER in their last 38 road games vs. good offensive teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. The OVER is 25-9-1 in Aggies last 35 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

СТАТИСТИКУ ЕГО ПРОГНОЗОВ МОЖЕТЕ ПОСМОТРЕТЬ У МЕНЯ В ПУБЛИКАЦИЯХ! УДАЧИ НАМ