Небраска - Айова Хокиз

автор Fil_i_am
25 ноября 2011, 19:39
219
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Американский футбол. NCAA.

Небраска - Айова Хокиз

Начало игры: 2011-11-25 21:00
Прогноз: Ф2(+9.5) Коэффициент: 1.90

These two teams have been waiting all season for this game, and I expect a close hard fought matchup that isn't decided until the final minutes. I think there is a good chance Nebraska will win this game, but 9.5-points is a lot to ask from a team that is 3-7 ATS this season and only 1-5 ATS when playing at home.

Iowa isn't the best road team, but looked good in their 31-21 win at Purdue last week. The Hawkeyes have great balance offensively. They can pound the football behind Marcus Coker and can air it out with quarterback James Vandenberg and future NFL wide out Marvin McNutt. The Nebraska defense has been suspect all season long, and I expect them to struggle to keep the Hawkeyes from scoring. The Cornhuskers gave up 45 points and 418 yards of total offense in their last game against Michigan, the same Wolverine team the Hawkeyes beat 24-16 just a few weeks back. The last time Nebraska took the field at home, they lost 25-28 to a Northwestern team Iowa knocked off 41-31 earlier this season.

Iowa's defense hasn't been all that great either, but tend to play well against offenses who can really only run the ball. Nebraska averages 224.1 ypg on the ground, but come in gaining just 166.9 ypg through the air.

In order to cover a spread like this you have to be able to score a lot of points and keep the opposing team from putting in the end zone, something I think Nebraska will struggle to do.

Iowa is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, while Nebraska is just 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. BET THE HAWKEYES +9.5!
Результат:
Прогноз не прошел -1.00
проигрыш
Итого: ставка - 1; выигрыш - 0(-1)